Early Stage Locust Appearance

The Early Stage Locust Appearance service layer gives information about areas characterised by ideal environmental conditions for locust breeding by using meteo-climate information to extract the necessary physical parameters.

Furthermore, the layer can run in two modes:

• Safe mode: based on AI modelling that makes use of climate data from ERA5-Land and Sentinel-3, it can generate probability forecasts up to one day in the future.

• Experimental mode: the AI model capabilities are enhanced by using Weather Extremes Digital Twin data and probability forecasts up to two days in the future can be generateed.

⚠️ Warning: the Experimental mode may be unstable and performance may vary.

The final output generated by service layer 1 is a heatmap showing the areas with a probability of locust breeding higher than 90%. Estimated probability values can be seen by clicking on the area of interest.

Aggregation per Area

Interested users can request to access our reserved Tenancy features by contacting us at helpdesk@sistema.at. The DLMS Tenancy allows to assess the amount of area impacted by the passing of desert locust by aggregation level: country and region. This feature, like the rest of the DLMS is available for the region of interest between North Africa and India.

Locust Swarm Migration

The Locust Swarm Migration service layer is designed for forecasting migration patterns of locust swarms based on the information about the appearance of early-stage locusts provided by the previous layer in combination with climate data from Copernicus and the Climate Change Adaptation Digital Twin.

This layer provides information about both the probability of presence of adult locusts due to migration, as well as the size of the swarm in km ². The output is visualized as a “bubble-map”, where the colour indicates the probability of swarms. Information about estimated probability and size can be seen by clicking on the area of interest.

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