Early Stage Desert Locusts

The Early Stage Locust Appearance service layer gives information about areas characterised by ideal environmental conditions for locust breeding by using meteo-climate information to extract the necessary physical parameters.

Furthermore, the layer can run in two modes:

• Safe mode: based on AI modelling that makes use of climate data from ERA5-Land and Sentinel-3, it can generate probability forecasts up to one day in the future.

• Experimental mode: the AI model capabilities are enhanced by using Weather Extremes Digital Twin data and probability forecasts up to two days in the future can be generateed.

⚠️ Warning: the Experimental mode may be unstable due to DT data maintenance.

The final output generated by service layer 1 is a heatmap showing the areas with a probability of locust breeding higher than 90%. Estimated probability values can be seen by clicking on the area of interest.

Aggregation per Area

This DLMS feature allows to assess the extent of area potentially impacted by desert locusts in the admin region of interest. This feature, like the rest of the DLMS is available for the geographical domain between North Africa and India. This feature is reserved to Tenancy Members. You can become a DLMS Tenancy Member by contacting us at helpdesk@sistema.at.

Desert Locusts Swarms

The Locust Swarm Migration service layer is designed for forecasting migration patterns of locust swarms based on the information about the appearance of early-stage locusts provided by the previous layer in combination with climate data from Copernicus and the Climate Change Adaptation Digital Twin.

This layer provides information about both the probability of presence of adult locusts due to migration, as well as the size of the swarm in km ². The output is visualized as a “bubble-map”, where the colour indicates the probability of swarms. Information about estimated probability and size can be seen by clicking on the area of interest.

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